METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Newark, USA
6 May 2023
Featherweight
VS
49%
Evloev
51%
Lopes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Movsar EvloevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Diego Lopes · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lopes
→
Actual result
Evloev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Evloev at 49% vs Lopes at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lopes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvloevLopes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evloev
Lopes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
32
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evloev
Lopes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.8
62.9
55.0
Performance Avg
57.5
25
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
69
Evloev
Lopes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
7.1
10.0
Style: Volume
3.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
9
0
Body
1
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance7
10Clinch3
6Ground0
Evloev
Lopes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evloev
Lopes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/20 fights
Chin rating based on
10/35 fights
Evloev
Lopes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
69
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Evloev
Lopes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
71%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evloev
Lopes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
EvloevLopes
Strike Zones
Evloev
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedLopes
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evloev targets the head (76% of attacks) — Lopes absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Lopes targets the head (90% of attacks) — Evloev absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evloev
RND
Lopes
0/0R00/0
Evloev · Last 5
Upcoming
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UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
Lopes · Last 5
W · KO · R2
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