UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
Las Vegas, USA
18 Sept 2021
Welterweight
VS
34%
Kasanganay
66%
Harris
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Harris
Harris holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Kasanganay has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Harris has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kasanganay's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Harris has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kasanganay
Harris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
+76"
32+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kasanganay
Harris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.5
50.5
42.3
Performance Avg
50.5
37
Quality of Victory
46
57
Momentum Score
51
Kasanganay
Harris
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
16
1
Body
6
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground10
Kasanganay
Harris
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kasanganay
Harris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
34
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Kasanganay
Harris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
57
51
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Kasanganay
Harris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kasanganay
Harris
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
KasanganayHarris
Strike Zones
Kasanganay
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedHarris
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kasanganay targets the head (83% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Harris targets the head (67% of attacks) — Kasanganay absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kasanganay
RND
Harris
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kasanganay · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Harris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Kasanganay · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
W · Sub · R2
Sasha PalatnikovRating 5.2Submission
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L · KO · R2
Joaquin BuckleyRating 3.9KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Maki PitoloRating 4.5Decision
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Harris · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 4.5KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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W · Sub · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 6.9Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5Decision
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