★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter Latin America 2 Welterweight Tournament
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Monterrey, Mexico
21 Nov 2015
Ultimate Fighter Latin America 2 Welterweight Tournament
VS
89%
Montano
11%
Marin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Montano
Montano is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Montano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 100 points.
Montano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Montano's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Montano
Marin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
—
Montano
Marin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
2.7
73.3
Performance Avg
0.0
100
Quality of Victory
0
27
Momentum Score
0
Montano
Marin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
34%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
3
Body
2
6
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance6
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Montano
Marin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Montano
Marin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Montano
Marin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Montano
Marin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Montano
Marin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MontanoMarin
Strike Zones
Montano
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMarin
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Montano targets the head (44% of attacks) — Marin absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Marin targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Montano absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Montano
RND
Marin
0/0R00/0
Montano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Marin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Montano · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Max GriffinRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Randy BrownRating 4.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
W · Dec · R3
Enrique MarinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
Marin · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Sage NorthcuttRating 5.5Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Erick MontanoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11