UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
Vancouver, Canada
11 Jun 2011
Middleweight
VS
49%
Ring
51%
Head
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Head
This is a genuine toss-up — Ring at 49% vs Head at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Head has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Head has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ring
Head
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"+
Reach
73"
47
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ring
Head
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.5
15.3
39.0
Performance Avg
39.7
32
Quality of Victory
40
35
Momentum Score
51
Ring
Head
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.3
40%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Ring
Head
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ring
Head
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Ring
Head
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Ring
Head
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ring
Head
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
RingHead
Strike Zones
Ring
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHead
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ring targets the head (80% of attacks) — Head absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Head targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ring absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ring
RND
Head
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ring · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Head · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Ring · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Caio MagalhaesRating 5.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5Decision
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Sub · R3
James HeadRating 5.5Submission
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
Head · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jason HighRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
W · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 4.5Decision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Sub · R1
Papy AbediRating 5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R3
Nick RingRating 4Submission
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06