METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis
Nashville, USA
23 Mar 2019
Bantamweight
VS
5%
MacDonald
95%
Gutierrez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chris GutierrezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ryan MacDonald · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gutierrez
→
Actual result
Gutierrez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Gutierrez is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gutierrez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MacDonaldGutierrez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
MacDonald
Gutierrez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
67"
33+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
MacDonald
Gutierrez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
44.2
0.0
Performance Avg
49.3
0
Quality of Victory
35
0
Momentum Score
25
MacDonald
Gutierrez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
4.2
0.0
Style: Volume
7.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
1
Body
6
5
Leg
8
RangeRange
6Distance20
0Clinch0
0Ground0
MacDonald
Gutierrez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
MacDonald
Gutierrez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/12 fights
Chin rating based on
15/29 fights
MacDonald
Gutierrez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
MacDonald
Gutierrez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
30%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
MacDonald
Gutierrez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
MacDonaldGutierrez
Strike Zones
MacDonald
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedGutierrez
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the legs (83% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Gutierrez targets the legs (40% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
MacDonald
RND
Gutierrez
0/0R00/0
MacDonald · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Louis SmolkaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Gutierrez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatDecision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Quang LeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Song YadongDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10