UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
Toronto, Canada
10 Dec 2016
Lightweight
VS
40%
Makdessi
60%
Vannata
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vannata
Vannata holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Makdessi has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Vannata has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Makdessi
Vannata
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+71"
41
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Makdessi
Vannata
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
45.9
42.2
Performance Avg
37.9
34
Quality of Victory
41
51
Momentum Score
70
Makdessi
Vannata
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
5
Body
5
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Makdessi
Vannata
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Makdessi
Vannata
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Makdessi
Vannata
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
70
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Makdessi
Vannata
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Vannata
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
MakdessiVannata
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedVannata
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the body (45% of attacks) — Vannata absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Vannata targets the body (50% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Vannata
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Makdessi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Vannata · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Vannata · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Darrius FlowersRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Mike GrundyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08