METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 72: Victory
Belfast, United Kingdom
16 Jun 2007
Lightweight
VS
29%
Griffin
71%
Guida
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tyson GriffinwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Clay Guida · UFC 72: Victory
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guida
→
Actual result
Griffin wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Guida is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guida has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GriffinGuida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Griffin
Guida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Guida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
39.7
42.3
Performance Avg
40.7
32
Quality of Victory
35
75
Momentum Score
78
Griffin
Guida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
4.2
7.1
Style: Volume
5.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
11
0
Body
10
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance6
0Clinch0
5Ground17
Griffin
Guida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.8
1
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Griffin
Guida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
8
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
37/60 fights
Griffin
Guida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
78
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Griffin
Guida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
39%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
5
6
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Guida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.8
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
GriffinGuida
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedGuida
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (94% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Guida targets the head (48% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Guida
0/0R00/0
Griffin · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiKO/TKO
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Guida · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperSubmission
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