Sam Alvey vs Brendan Allen — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland

Las Vegas, USA

5 Feb 2022

Light Heavyweight

27%

Alvey

73%

Allen

Win Probability

Submission

Round 2 · 2:10

Sam Alvey

"Smile'N"

33 – 18

6'2"75" reachSouthpaw40 yrs8-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 23

Brendan Allen

"All In"

26 – 7

Well-Rounded3-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"

CFR 61

★ Official Result

Brendan AllenwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:10

def. Sam Alvey · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Allen

→

Actual result

Allen wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Allen is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Alvey's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Allen has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AlveyAllen

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Alvey

Allen

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"

Height

6'2"

75"

Reach

75"

Age

+30

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Alvey

Allen

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

22.9

61.3

44.3

Performance Avg

56.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Alvey

Allen

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.9

/ 10

2.9

/ 10

5.5

Style: Pressure

6.6

4.1

Style: Volume

4.8

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

6Distance9

0Clinch0

0Ground2

Alvey

Allen

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.8

/ 10

4.7

/ 10

1.2

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.3

1.0

Submission Style (/10)

4.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Alvey

Allen

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.3 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

13 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

24/51 fights

Chin rating based on

20/33 fights

Alvey

Allen

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

8-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 🔥 win streak

L · KO · R1

L · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

Upcoming

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R4

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Alvey

Allen

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

60%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alvey

Allen

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.9

1.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.7

1.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.3

1.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.7

5.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.6

4.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.8

Alvey

Strike Zones

Allen

Alvey

Attacking

6 landed

Absorbing

11 absorbed

Allen

Attacking

11 landed

Absorbing

6 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Alvey targets the head (67% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯Allen targets the head (36% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 36% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alvey

RND

Allen

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Alvey · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Michal Oleksiejczuk

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08

L · Sub · R2

Brendan Allen

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02

L · Dec · R3

Wellington Turman

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08

L · Sub · R2

Julian Marquez

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04

Upcoming

Da Woon Jung

Decision

UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10

Allen · Last 5

Upcoming

Christian Leroy Duncan

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10

W · Dec · R3

Edmen Shahbazyan

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

W · KO · R4

Reinier de Ridder

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10

W · Dec · R3

Marvin Vettori

Decision

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

L · Dec · R3

Anthony Hernandez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

News & Media

Sam Alvey · Brendan Allen

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