UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
Las Vegas, USA
10 Jul 2021
Featherweight
VS
30%
Hall
70%
Topuria
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:47
RH
Ryan Hall
"The Wizard"
9 – 2
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Ilia
Ilia Topuria
"El Matador"
17 – 0
Knockout Artist9-fight win streak29 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 82

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Topuria

Topuria is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Topuria has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Topuria has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Hall
Topuria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
41
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hall
Topuria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.0
82.3
60.8
Performance Avg
77.5
46
Quality of Victory
62
99
Momentum Score
100
Hall
Topuria
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
4
Body
2
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
9Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground15
Hall
Topuria
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hall
Topuria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
100
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Hall
Topuria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
100
Current form
9-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
Hall
Topuria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
78%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hall
Topuria
Striking1.7 / 8.7Volume8.1 / 3.8Grappling3.5 / 1.4Wrestling2.5 / 1.0Submission2.0 / 1.1Pressure3.9 / 8.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Hall
Strike Zones
Topuria
Hall
Attacking
2HEAD4BODY4LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY5LEGS18 absorbed
Topuria
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY5LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD4BODY4LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hall targets the body (40% of attacks) — Topuria absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Topuria targets the head (61% of attacks) — Hall absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hall
RND
Topuria
0/0R00/0

Hall · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W3.9L4.5W2015-122016-122018-122019-072021-072021-12
WinLossTrend

Topuria · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5W5.3W5.0W6.0W6.3W4.6W6.6W6.3W6.4W2020-102022-032024-022025-06
WinLossTrend

Hall · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Sub · R1
BJ PennRating 5
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12

Topuria · Last 5

Upcoming
Justin Gaethje
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

News & Media

Ryan Hall · Ilia Topuria
← Back to fights