UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Albany, USA
9 Dec 2016
Heavyweight
VS
73%
Ngannou
27%
Hamilton
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:57
FN
CFR 43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ngannou
Ngannou is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ngannou has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Hamilton has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hamilton has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ngannou
Hamilton
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'5"
83"+
Reach
76"
39+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ngannou
Hamilton
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.0
16.2
70.4
Performance Avg
40.0
60
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
72
Ngannou
Hamilton
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
63%
9.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
9 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ngannou
Hamilton
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ngannou
Hamilton
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
6
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Ngannou
Hamilton
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Ngannou
Hamilton
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
67%
9
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ngannou
Hamilton
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
NgannouHamilton
Strike Zones
Ngannou
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHamilton
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ngannou targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Hamilton absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ngannou
RND
Hamilton
0/0R00/0
Ngannou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Hamilton · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Ngannou · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Ciryl GaneRating 6.2Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
W · KO · R2
Stipe MiocicRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Junior Dos SantosRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
Hamilton · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Adam WieczorekRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Daniel SpitzRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Marcel FortunaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · Sub · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Damian GrabowskiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07