METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Featherweight
VS
46%
Rosa
54%
Bermudez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:46
MB
Manny Bermudez
"The Bermudez Triangle"
14 – 2
Submission Hunter2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Charles RosawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:46
def. Manny Bermudez · UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bermudez
→
Actual result
Rosa wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rosa at 46% vs Bermudez at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bermudez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Bermudez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rosa's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RosaBermudez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rosa
Bermudez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+71"
39
Age
+32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Bermudez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
22.4
36.3
Performance Avg
55.5
35
Quality of Victory
53
20
Momentum Score
72
Rosa
Bermudez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
2.2
36%
Strike Accuracy
61%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
25
2
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground26
Rosa
Bermudez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosa
Bermudez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Rosa
Bermudez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Rosa
Bermudez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rosa
Bermudez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
RosaBermudez
Strike Zones
Rosa
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedBermudez
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Bermudez targets the head (93% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rosa
RND
Bermudez
0/0R00/0
Rosa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Bermudez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Justin JaynesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
Bermudez · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Charles RosaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R1
Benito LopezRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Davey GrantRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Sub · R2
Albert MoralesRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02