METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Featherweight
VS
46%
Rosa
54%
Bermudez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:46
MB
Manny Bermudez
"The Bermudez Triangle"
14 – 2
Submission Hunter2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Charles RosawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:46
def. Manny Bermudez · UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bermudez
→
Actual result
Rosa wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rosa at 46% vs Bermudez at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bermudez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Rosa's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RosaBermudez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rosa
Bermudez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+71"
40
Age
+32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Bermudez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
22.4
36.3
Performance Avg
55.5
35
Quality of Victory
53
20
Momentum Score
72
Rosa
Bermudez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
4.0
Style: Pressure
8.8
5.6
Style: Volume
1.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
25
2
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground26
Rosa
Bermudez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rosa
Bermudez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Rosa
Bermudez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Rosa
Bermudez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rosa
Bermudez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
RosaBermudez
Strike Zones
Rosa
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedBermudez
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Bermudez targets the head (93% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rosa
RND
Bermudez
0/0R00/0
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Damon JacksonDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Justin JaynesDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
Bermudez · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Charles RosaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R1
Benito LopezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Davey GrantSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Sub · R2
Albert MoralesSubmission
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