UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Featherweight
VS
46%
Rosa
54%
Bermudez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:46
CR
Charles Rosa
"Boston Strong"
14 – 8
5'9"69" reachSwitch39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
MB
Manny Bermudez
"The Bermudez Triangle"
14 – 2
Submission Hunter2-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bermudez

This is a genuine toss-up — Rosa at 46% vs Bermudez at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bermudez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Bermudez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rosa's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rosa
Bermudez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+71"
39
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Bermudez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
22.4
36.3
Performance Avg
55.5
35
Quality of Victory
53
20
Momentum Score
72
Rosa
Bermudez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.2
36%
Strike Accuracy
61%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
25
2
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground26
Rosa
Bermudez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosa
Bermudez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Rosa
Bermudez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Rosa
Bermudez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosa
Bermudez
Striking0.8 / 1.2Volume5.6 / 1.2Grappling4.6 / 8.0Wrestling3.3 / 5.6Submission4.0 / 10.0Pressure4.0 / 8.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
Rosa
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Rosa
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD2BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Bermudez
Attacking
25HEAD2BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Bermudez targets the head (93% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rosa
RND
Bermudez
0/0R00/0

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W7.1L4.5W4.0L5.0W6.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.8L5.5L6.3L2014-102017-042021-022022-07
WinLossTrend

Bermudez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W5.8W5.0W5.5L1.5L2018-022018-072019-022019-082019-10
WinLossTrend

Rosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Justin JaynesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02

Bermudez · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Charles RosaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R1
Benito LopezRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Davey GrantRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Sub · R2
Albert MoralesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02

News & Media

Charles Rosa · Manny Bermudez
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