UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Filipovic
46%
Schaub
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Filipovic
This is a genuine toss-up — Filipovic at 54% vs Schaub at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Schaub throws more volume but Filipovic connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Filipovic's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Schaub has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Filipovic
Schaub
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+78"
51
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Filipovic
Schaub
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
15.7
48.5
Performance Avg
49.2
51
Quality of Victory
46
78
Momentum Score
39
Filipovic
Schaub
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
48%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
0
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch1
0Ground1
Filipovic
Schaub
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Filipovic
Schaub
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/46 fights
Chin rating based on
11/15 fights
Filipovic
Schaub
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
39
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Filipovic
Schaub
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Filipovic
Schaub
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
FilipovicSchaub
Strike Zones
Filipovic
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSchaub
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Filipovic targets the head (75% of attacks) — Schaub absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Schaub targets the head (50% of attacks) — Filipovic absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Filipovic
RND
Schaub
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Filipovic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Schaub · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Filipovic · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Gabriel GonzagaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · KO · R3
Roy NelsonRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
L · KO · R3
Brendan SchaubRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · KO · R3
Frank MirRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R3
Pat BarryRating 5.5Submission
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
Schaub · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Sub · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 5Submission
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Lavar JohnsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · KO · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04