UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Atlantic City, USA
4 Jun 2005
Welterweight
VS
93%
Diaz
7%
Oishi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Diaz
Diaz is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diaz
Oishi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
76"
Reach
42+
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diaz
Oishi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
2.1
49.6
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Diaz
Oishi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
9%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
2
5
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance2
4Clinch0
4Ground0
Diaz
Oishi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diaz
Oishi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
2/35 fights
Diaz
Oishi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Diaz
Oishi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Oishi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DiazOishi
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedOishi
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (80% of attacks) — Oishi absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Oishi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Oishi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Oishi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Diaz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson SilvaUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreRating 5.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Oishi · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Nick DiazRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
L · Dec · R3
Laverne ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3 · 2000-04
