METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Atlantic City, USA
4 Jun 2005
Welterweight
VS
93%
Diaz
7%
Oishi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:24
★ Official Result
Nick DiazwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:24
def. Koji Oishi · UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiazOishi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diaz
Oishi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
76"
Reach
43+
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diaz
Oishi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
2.1
49.6
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Diaz
Oishi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.1
Style: Volume
0.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
2
5
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance2
4Clinch0
4Ground0
Diaz
Oishi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diaz
Oishi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
2/35 fights
Diaz
Oishi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Diaz
Oishi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Oishi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DiazOishi
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedOishi
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (80% of attacks) — Oishi absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Oishi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Oishi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Diaz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson SilvaUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreDecision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditDecision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennDecision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Oishi · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Nick DiazKO/TKO
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
L · Dec · R3
Laverne ClarkDecision
UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3 · 2000-04