METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
San Antonio, USA
13 Sept 2025
Middleweight
VS
8%
Medina
92%
Todorovic
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:21
★ Official Result
Dusko TodorovicwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:21
def. Jose Daniel Medina · Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Todorovic
→
Actual result
Todorovic wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Todorovic is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Todorovic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 56 points.
Risk flags
Medina's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Todorovic has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MedinaTodorovic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Medina
Todorovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Medina
Todorovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
3.4
39.1
0.0
Performance Avg
48.1
0
Quality of Victory
56
0
Momentum Score
0
Medina
Todorovic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.2
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
8.1
0.0
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
3
Body
6
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance10
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Medina
Todorovic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Medina
Todorovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Medina
Todorovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Medina
Todorovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Medina
Todorovic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MedinaTodorovic
Strike Zones
Medina
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTodorovic
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Medina targets the head (56% of attacks) — Todorovic absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Todorovic targets the head (63% of attacks) — Medina absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Medina
RND
Todorovic
0/0R00/0
Medina · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Ryan GandraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Sub · R1
Dusko TodorovicSubmission
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Ateba GautierKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Todorovic · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Robert ValentinSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · Sub · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaSubmission
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Mansur Abdul-MalikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Christian Leroy DuncanKO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03