METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jul 2010
Heavyweight
VS
66%
Schaub
34%
Tuchscherer
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:07
★ Official Result
Brendan SchaubwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:07
def. Chris Tuchscherer · UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Schaub
→
Actual result
Schaub wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Schaub holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Tuchscherer has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Schaub has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Schaub has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Schaub's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tuchscherer has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SchaubTuchscherer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Schaub
Tuchscherer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
76"
43+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schaub
Tuchscherer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
8.2
49.2
Performance Avg
25.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
22
Schaub
Tuchscherer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
0.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
17%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
2Clinch0
6Ground0
Schaub
Tuchscherer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Schaub
Tuchscherer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Schaub
Tuchscherer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Schaub
Tuchscherer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schaub
Tuchscherer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
SchaubTuchscherer
Strike Zones
Schaub
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTuchscherer
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Schaub targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tuchscherer absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Tuchscherer targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Schaub absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schaub
RND
Tuchscherer
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Schaub · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Tuchscherer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.6WinLossTrend
Schaub · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Sub · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 5Submission
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Lavar JohnsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · KO · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
Tuchscherer · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Mark HuntRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
L · KO · R1
Brendan SchaubRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Dec · R3
Tim HagueRating 4.5Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08