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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 May 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
55%
Namajunas
45%
Andrade
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:58
Rose
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
15 – 8
5'5"65" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Jessica
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26 – 15
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'1"
CFR 51
★ Official Result
Jessica AndradewinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:58
def. Rose Namajunas · UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Namajunas
→
Actual result
Andrade wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Namajunas at 55% vs Andrade at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Andrade has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
NamajunasAndrade
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Namajunas
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'1"
65"+
Reach
62"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Namajunas
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
51.0
55.9
Performance Avg
49.4
51
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
79
Namajunas
Andrade
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
3.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
11
0
Body
6
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
25Distance21
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Namajunas
Andrade
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Namajunas
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Namajunas
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
79
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Namajunas
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
53%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Namajunas
Andrade
Striking2.9 / 4.7Volume5.9 / 4.9Grappling3.4 / 2.5Wrestling2.4 / 1.8Submission2.5 / 1.8Pressure4.8 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Namajunas
Strike Zones
Andrade
Namajunas
Attacking
25HEAD0BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD6BODY6LEGS23 absorbed
Andrade
Attacking
11HEAD6BODY6LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD0BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (100% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (48% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 48% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Namajunas
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Namajunas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0103.0L5.1W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W2.9L5.3W6.8W6.3W5.8L7.1L4.6W5.2W7.0L5.3W7.0L2014-122017-042021-042024-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.8L4.5W5.1W5.0W1.5L4.5W3.3L5.3W5.2W4.6W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W6.5W3.3L6.9L5.3W3.5L5.0W6.1W5.3W3.6L2.5L4.6L6.5W5.2W7.0L2.4L6.0L2013-072016-092020-072023-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Namajunas · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

Andrade · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Rose Namajunas · Jessica Andrade
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