UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn
Anaheim, USA
23 Sept 2006
Middleweight
VS
53%
Swick
47%
Loiseau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Swick
This is a genuine toss-up — Swick at 53% vs Loiseau at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Loiseau has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Swick
Loiseau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
76"
46
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swick
Loiseau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
20.1
55.0
Performance Avg
43.7
47
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
100
Swick
Loiseau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.0
36%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
17
1
Body
3
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
1Distance3
5Clinch16
2Ground5
Swick
Loiseau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swick
Loiseau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
70
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
9/34 fights
Swick
Loiseau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R2
Swick
Loiseau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swick
Loiseau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
SwickLoiseau
Strike Zones
Swick
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedLoiseau
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the head (63% of attacks) — Loiseau absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Loiseau targets the head (71% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swick
RND
Loiseau
0/0R00/0
Swick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Loiseau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Swick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoRating 2.8Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Loiseau · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mario MirandaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike SwickRating 5.5Decision
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09
L · Dec · R5
Rich FranklinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 58: USA vs Canada · 2006-03
W · R2
Evan TannerRating 4.2UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10