METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2011
Bantamweight
VS
44%
Duran
56%
Rivera
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:57
★ Official Result
Reuben DuranwinsSubmissionR3 · 1:57
def. Francisco Rivera · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rivera
→
Actual result
Duran wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Duran at 44% vs Rivera at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Rivera throws more volume but Duran connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rivera has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DuranRivera
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Duran
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
71"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duran
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.7
18.7
37.0
Performance Avg
45.2
45
Quality of Victory
49
22
Momentum Score
69
Duran
Rivera
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
3
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Duran
Rivera
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duran
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
58
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Duran
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Duran
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duran
Rivera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
DuranRivera
Strike Zones
Duran
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedRivera
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duran targets the body (50% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Duran absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duran
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0
Duran · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Duran · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
George RoopRating 5.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · KO · R1
Hugo VianaRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
W · Sub · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 5.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
Rivera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5Submission
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Alex CaceresRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8Submission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12