The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2011
Bantamweight
VS
44%
Duran
56%
Rivera
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:57
RD
Reuben Duran
11 – 7
5'7"71" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 15
FR
Francisco Rivera
"Cisco"
11 – 7
Striker3-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rivera

This is a genuine toss-up — Duran at 44% vs Rivera at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Rivera throws more volume but Duran connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Rivera has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Duran
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
71"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duran
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.7
18.7
37.0
Performance Avg
45.2
45
Quality of Victory
49
22
Momentum Score
69
Duran
Rivera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
3
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Duran
Rivera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duran
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
58
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Duran
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Duran
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Duran
Rivera
Striking0.5 / 8.3Volume0.5 / 2.8Grappling8.0 / 0.6Wrestling5.6 / 0.4Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Duran
Strike Zones
Rivera
Duran
Attacking
2HEAD3BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY3LEGS3 absorbed
Rivera
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY3LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD3BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Duran targets the body (50% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Duran absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Duran
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0

Duran · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.5L5.5W1.5L5.5L2011-032011-062012-122013-03
WinLossTrend

Rivera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.0L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L2.8L5.2W1.5L5.5L5.5L2011-062013-112015-062016-07
WinLossTrend

Duran · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
George RoopRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · KO · R1
Hugo VianaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
W · Sub · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 5.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03

Rivera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Alex CaceresRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12

News & Media

Reuben Duran · Francisco Rivera
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