UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Austin, USA
18 Feb 2018
Lightweight
VS
43%
Gordon
57%
Ferreira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ferreira
This is a genuine toss-up — Gordon at 43% vs Ferreira at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gordon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gordon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ferreira has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gordon
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
68"
Reach
+74"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gordon
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.1
55.1
42.8
Performance Avg
50.7
36
Quality of Victory
45
63
Momentum Score
87
Gordon
Ferreira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
2.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
24
0
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground16
Gordon
Ferreira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gordon
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Gordon
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
87
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Gordon
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
70%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gordon
Ferreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
GordonFerreira
Strike Zones
Gordon
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedFerreira
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gordon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (83% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gordon
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gordon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ferreira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
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L · KO · R3
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W · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Ferreira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander HernandezRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonRating 7Decision
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W · KO · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1KO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
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L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8KO/TKO
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