METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Miami, USA
8 Apr 2023
Featherweight
VS
36%
Nuerdanbieke
64%
Garcia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:36
★ Official Result
Steve GarciawinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:36
def. Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garcia
→
Actual result
Garcia wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Garcia holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Nuerdanbieke has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Garcia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nuerdanbieke's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NuerdanbiekeGarcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
+75"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.0
72.5
42.0
Performance Avg
65.0
37
Quality of Victory
55
51
Momentum Score
95
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
2.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch1
0Ground4
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/51 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
95
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
88%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
NuerdanbiekeGarcia
Strike Zones
Nuerdanbieke
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nuerdanbieke targets the head (100% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (82% of attacks) — Nuerdanbieke absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nuerdanbieke
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nuerdanbieke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Nuerdanbieke · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Steve GarciaRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R1
Darrick MinnerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Sean SorianoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
Garcia · Last 5
Upcoming
Diego LopesUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
David OnamaRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07