UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Miami, USA
8 Apr 2023
Featherweight
VS
36%
Nuerdanbieke
64%
Garcia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:36
Shayilan
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
"Wolverine"
3912
5'8"69" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Steve
Steve Garcia
"Mean Machine"
195
Knockout Artist7-fight win streak34 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 73

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garcia

Garcia holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Nuerdanbieke has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Garcia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nuerdanbieke's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
+75"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.0
72.5
42.0
Performance Avg
65.0
37
Quality of Victory
55
51
Momentum Score
95
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch1
0Ground4
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
6/51 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
95
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
88%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Striking4.3 / 10.0Volume6.3 / 2.6Grappling1.6 / 0.3Wrestling1.1 / 0.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
Nuerdanbieke
Strike Zones
Garcia
Nuerdanbieke
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nuerdanbieke targets the head (100% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (82% of attacks) — Nuerdanbieke absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nuerdanbieke
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nuerdanbieke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.8L4.5W4.5W5.0W4.6L5.2L2021-052021-112022-062022-112023-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L5.2W1.8L5.8W5.5W6.5W5.2W5.1W5.0W5.8W2020-022022-102024-072025-11
WinLossTrend

Nuerdanbieke · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Steve GarciaRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R1
Darrick MinnerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Sean SorianoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11

Garcia · Last 5

Upcoming
Diego Lopes
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
David OnamaRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07

News & Media

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Steve Garcia
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