METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Miami, USA
8 Apr 2023
Featherweight
VS
37%
Nuerdanbieke
63%
Garcia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:36
★ Official Result
Steve GarciawinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:36
def. Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garcia
→
Actual result
Garcia wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Garcia holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Nuerdanbieke has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Nuerdanbieke's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Garcia has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NuerdanbiekeGarcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
+75"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.0
69.1
42.0
Performance Avg
62.1
37
Quality of Victory
55
51
Momentum Score
95
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
8.3
6.3
Style: Volume
2.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch1
0Ground4
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/51 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
95
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
88%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nuerdanbieke
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
NuerdanbiekeGarcia
Strike Zones
Nuerdanbieke
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nuerdanbieke targets the head (100% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (82% of attacks) — Nuerdanbieke absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nuerdanbieke
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nuerdanbieke · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Melquizael CostaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Steve GarciaKO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R1
Darrick MinnerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
TJ BrownDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Sean SorianoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
Garcia · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Diego LopesKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
David OnamaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07