METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi
St. Louis, USA
14 Jan 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
43%
VanZant
57%
Clark
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jessica-Rose ClarkwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Paige VanZant · UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Clark
→
Actual result
Clark wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — VanZant at 43% vs Clark at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
VanZant has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Clark throws more volume but VanZant connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
VanZant's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Clark has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VanZantClark
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
VanZant
Clark
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"+
Reach
64"
32+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
VanZant
Clark
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
27.7
49.2
Performance Avg
36.5
45
Quality of Victory
31
84
Momentum Score
36
VanZant
Clark
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.5
58%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
17
13
Body
6
6
Leg
5
RangeRange
27Distance25
1Clinch3
0Ground0
VanZant
Clark
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
VanZant
Clark
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
3
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
9/20 fights
VanZant
Clark
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
36
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
VanZant
Clark
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
VanZant
Clark
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
VanZantClark
Strike Zones
VanZant
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedClark
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯VanZant targets the body (46% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Clark targets the head (61% of attacks) — VanZant absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
VanZant
RND
Clark
0/0R00/0
VanZant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Clark · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
VanZant · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Amanda RibasRating 1.6Submission
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · Sub · R2
Rachael OstovichRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · Sub · R1
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · KO · R2
Bec RawlingsRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
Clark · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Tainara LisboaRating 4.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Sub · R1
Julija StoliarenkoRating 1.8Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Stephanie EggerRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · KO · R3
Sarah AlparRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09