UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao
Dublin, Ireland
19 Jul 2014
Flyweight
VS
54%
Pickett
46%
McCall
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BP
Brad Pickett
"One Punch"
2514
5'6"68" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
IM
Ian McCall
"Uncle Creepy"
135
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'5"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pickett

This is a genuine toss-up — Pickett at 54% vs McCall at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pickett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

McCall has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pickett's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pickett
McCall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
64"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pickett
McCall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
11.9
36.4
Performance Avg
31.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
60
Momentum Score
35
Pickett
McCall
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
30%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
1
Body
9
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance7
3Clinch8
0Ground4
Pickett
McCall
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pickett
McCall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
14/39 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Pickett
McCall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pickett
McCall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pickett
McCall
Striking2.7 / 0.8Volume5.5 / 8.8Grappling3.0 / 2.4Wrestling2.1 / 1.7Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 1.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Pickett
Strike Zones
McCall
Pickett
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD9BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
McCall
Attacking
10HEAD9BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the head (71% of attacks) — McCall absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯McCall targets the head (53% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pickett
RND
McCall
0/0R00/0

Pickett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0101.5L5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W5.5L5.5L2.8L4.5W1.5L5.5L4.8L2011-112013-042014-112016-122017-03
WinLossTrend

McCall · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L2012-062013-022013-082014-072015-01
WinLossTrend

Pickett · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07

McCall · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
John LinekerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Iliarde SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06

News & Media

Brad Pickett · Ian McCall
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