UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao
Dublin, Ireland
19 Jul 2014
Flyweight
VS
54%
Pickett
46%
McCall
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pickett
This is a genuine toss-up — Pickett at 54% vs McCall at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pickett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
McCall has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pickett's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pickett
McCall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
64"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pickett
McCall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
11.9
36.4
Performance Avg
31.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
60
Momentum Score
35
Pickett
McCall
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
30%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
1
Body
9
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance7
3Clinch8
0Ground4
Pickett
McCall
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pickett
McCall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/39 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Pickett
McCall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pickett
McCall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pickett
McCall
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
PickettMcCall
Strike Zones
Pickett
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedMcCall
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the head (71% of attacks) — McCall absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯McCall targets the head (53% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pickett
RND
McCall
0/0R00/0
Pickett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
McCall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Pickett · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Urijah FaberRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco RiveraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
McCall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
John LinekerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Iliarde SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06