METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2016
Lightweight
VS
32%
Escudero
68%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kevin LeewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Efrain Escudero · UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
→
Actual result
Lee wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lee holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Escudero has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Escudero has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Lee throws more volume but Escudero connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Escudero's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EscuderoLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Escudero
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+77"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Escudero
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
35.2
48.3
Performance Avg
48.3
53
Quality of Victory
42
40
Momentum Score
53
Escudero
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
2
Body
2
11
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance4
8Clinch1
0Ground8
Escudero
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Escudero
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
24
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/40 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Escudero
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Escudero
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
55%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Escudero
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
EscuderoLee
Strike Zones
Escudero
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedLee
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Escudero targets the legs (65% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (85% of attacks) — Escudero absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Escudero
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Escudero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Escudero · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeRating 5.5Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo de LimaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
Lee · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05