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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Featherweight
VS
48%
Swanson
52%
Fili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Cub
Cub Swanson
3114
5'8"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Andre
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
2513
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 48
★ Official Result
Andre FiliwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cub Swanson · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fili
Actual result
Fili wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Swanson at 48% vs Fili at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Fili has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SwansonFili
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Swanson
Fili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Fili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
48.4
48.8
Performance Avg
41.2
40
Quality of Victory
35
56
Momentum Score
100
Swanson
Fili
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
3.6
5.2
Style: Volume
6.5
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
23
4
Body
5
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
24Distance24
6Clinch7
0Ground0
Swanson
Fili
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Swanson
Fili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
5
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
27/38 fights
Swanson
Fili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Swanson
Fili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
31%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Swanson
Fili
Striking6.2 / 4.1Volume5.2 / 6.5Grappling1.2 / 1.7Wrestling0.8 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Swanson
Strike Zones
Fili
Swanson
Attacking
23HEAD4BODY3LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD5BODY3LEGS31 absorbed
Fili
Attacking
23HEAD5BODY3LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD4BODY3LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the head (77% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Fili targets the head (74% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Swanson
RND
Fili
0/0R00/0

Swanson · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nate Landwehr
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy Quarantillo
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre Fili
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem Dawodu
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan Martinez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

Fili · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Vinicius Oliveira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Jose Delgado
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Christian Rodriguez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Melquizael Costa
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Cub Swanson
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

News & Media

Cub Swanson · Andre Fili
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