UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Featherweight
VS
48%
Swanson
52%
Fili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Cub
Cub Swanson
31 – 14
5'8"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Andre
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
25 – 13
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fili

This is a genuine toss-up — Swanson at 48% vs Fili at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Swanson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Fili has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Swanson
Fili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Fili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
48.8
48.8
Performance Avg
42.0
40
Quality of Victory
35
56
Momentum Score
100
Swanson
Fili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
56%
Strike Accuracy
37%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
23
4
Body
5
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
24Distance24
6Clinch7
0Ground0
Swanson
Fili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swanson
Fili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
26/38 fights
Swanson
Fili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Swanson
Fili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
31%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Swanson
Fili
Striking6.2 / 4.1Volume5.2 / 6.6Grappling1.2 / 1.7Wrestling0.8 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 3.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Swanson
Strike Zones
Fili
Swanson
Attacking
23HEAD4BODY3LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD5BODY3LEGS31 absorbed
Fili
Attacking
23HEAD5BODY3LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD4BODY3LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the head (77% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Fili targets the head (74% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Swanson
RND
Fili
0/0R00/0

Swanson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.2W5.2W6.4W5.8W5.5W5.0W4.0L5.1L4.5W4.5W6.3W4.5W3.5L5.5L2.3L5.5L5.3W6.1W2.5L5.5W3.3L4.6W6.2L6.7W5.7W2011-112014-112018-042022-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Fili · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.2W5.1L4.5W1.5L5.2W4.3L4.5W6.0L4.5W4.5W5.6L4.5W5.0W6.3L5.3W6.5L3.1L4.7W6.3L5.1W2.2L5.0W2.7L5.1W7.0L2013-102017-072020-062024-062026-03
WinLossTrend

Swanson · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

Fili · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

News & Media

Cub Swanson · Andre Fili
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