METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Seattle, USA
22 Feb 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Cutelaba
57%
Aslan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:51
★ Official Result
Ion CutelabawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:51
def. Ibo Aslan · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aslan
→
Actual result
Cutelaba wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cutelaba at 43% vs Aslan at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Cutelaba's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Aslan has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CutelabaAslan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cutelaba
Aslan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
32
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cutelaba
Aslan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.0
53.7
46.2
Performance Avg
49.0
47
Quality of Victory
55
26
Momentum Score
46
Cutelaba
Aslan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
8.2
3.6
Style: Volume
0.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
2
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance12
1Clinch3
3Ground0
Cutelaba
Aslan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cutelaba
Aslan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/31 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Cutelaba
Aslan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
46
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Cutelaba
Aslan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cutelaba
Aslan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
CutelabaAslan
Strike Zones
Cutelaba
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedAslan
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (71% of attacks) — Aslan absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Aslan targets the head (93% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cutelaba
RND
Aslan
0/0R00/0
Cutelaba · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Navajo StirlingKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Oumar SySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Modestas BukauskasDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Ibo AslanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
Aslan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Billy ElekanaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Ion CutelabaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael CerqueiraKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anton TurkaljKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03