UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
27%
Modafferi
73%
Murphy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RM
Roxanne Modafferi
"The Happy Warrior"
25 – 21
5'7"69" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
Lauren
Lauren Murphy
"Lucky"
16 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Murphy

Murphy is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Murphy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Murphy has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Modafferi
Murphy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
67"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Modafferi
Murphy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
51.7
34.7
Performance Avg
41.9
36
Quality of Victory
34
15
Momentum Score
87
Modafferi
Murphy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.5
31%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
22
2
Body
3
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
19Distance28
3Clinch0
0Ground2
Modafferi
Murphy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Modafferi
Murphy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/46 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Modafferi
Murphy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
87
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Modafferi
Murphy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
38%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Modafferi
Murphy
Striking3.2 / 3.6Volume6.7 / 6.1Grappling1.8 / 2.5Wrestling1.3 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure2.8 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Modafferi
Strike Zones
Murphy
Modafferi
Attacking
17HEAD2BODY3LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD3BODY5LEGS30 absorbed
Murphy
Attacking
22HEAD3BODY5LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD2BODY3LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Modafferi targets the head (77% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Murphy targets the head (73% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Modafferi
RND
Murphy
0/0R00/0

Modafferi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.1L5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5W6.3L4.9W6.2L5.7L6.7L2013-112018-112020-012021-012022-02
WinLossTrend

Murphy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5L5.5W5.8L4.5W5.5L5.5W4.9W4.5W5.2W4.7W4.7L5.4W6.3L6.3L2014-082017-122020-062022-072025-07
WinLossTrend

Modafferi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

Murphy · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06

News & Media

Roxanne Modafferi · Lauren Murphy
← Back to fights