UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze
Las Vegas, USA
28 Aug 2021
Welterweight
VS
40%
Lee
60%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KL
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
18 – 8
5'9"77" reachOrthodox33 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
Daniel
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
20 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak39 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

Rodriguez holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Lee has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lee's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lee
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
77"+
Reach
74"
33+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lee
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
53.3
48.3
Performance Avg
50.7
42
Quality of Victory
37
53
Momentum Score
70
Lee
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
43
5
Body
2
3
Leg
8
RangeRange
20Distance52
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Lee
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lee
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/25 fights
Lee
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
70
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Lee
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
4
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee
Rodriguez
Striking3.0 / 4.4Volume4.1 / 6.2Grappling3.8 / 2.2Wrestling2.6 / 1.6Submission3.6 / 1.0Pressure5.6 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Lee
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Lee
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
43HEAD2BODY8LEGS53 absorbed
Rodriguez
Attacking
43HEAD2BODY8LEGS53 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (81% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.6L4.5W6.0W5.2W5.2W5.8W3.3L5.0W5.5L3.6L5.0W4.2L6.4L3.1L2014-022015-122017-062019-112023-07
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.3W5.3W5.0W5.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.3W4.6L3.0L5.8L4.5W6.0W5.1W2020-022021-042022-112025-052025-07
WinLossTrend

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Rodriguez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Ian Machado GarryRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05

News & Media

Kevin Lee · Daniel Rodriguez
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