Kevin Lee vs Daniel Rodriguez — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze

Las Vegas, USA

28 Aug 2021

Welterweight

41%

Lee

59%

Rodriguez

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Kevin Lee

"The Motown Phenom"

18 – 8

5'9"77" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 35

Daniel Rodriguez

"D-Rod"

20 – 5

Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"

CFR 50

★ Official Result

Daniel RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Kevin Lee · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Rodriguez

→

Actual result

Rodriguez wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Lee at 41% vs Rodriguez at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Lee's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

LeeRodriguez

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Lee

Rodriguez

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"

Height

+6'1"

77"+

Reach

74"

34+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Lee

Rodriguez

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

35.2

50.4

48.3

Performance Avg

48.8

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Lee

Rodriguez

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.0

/ 10

4.3

/ 10

5.6

Style: Pressure

4.8

4.1

Style: Volume

6.1

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

20Distance52

0Clinch0

0Ground1

Lee

Rodriguez

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.8

/ 10

2.2

/ 10

2.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.6

3.6

Submission Style (/10)

1.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Lee

Rodriguez

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

13 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

19/26 fights

Chin rating based on

15/25 fights

Lee

Rodriguez

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Sub · R4

Last 5

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Lee

Rodriguez

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

55%

40%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee

Rodriguez

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.3

3.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.2

2.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.6

3.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.0

5.6

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.8

4.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.1

Lee

Strike Zones

Rodriguez

Lee

Attacking

20 landed

Absorbing

53 absorbed

Rodriguez

Attacking

53 landed

Absorbing

20 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Lee targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 60% of strikes there

🎯Rodriguez targets the head (81% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee

RND

Rodriguez

0/0R00/0

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

L · Dec · R3

Daniel Rodriguez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08

L · Sub · R3

Charles Oliveira

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03

W · KO · R1

Gregor Gillespie

KO/TKO

UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

L · Sub · R4

Rafael Dos Anjos

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Rodriguez · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Uros Medic

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08

W · Dec · R3

Kevin Holland

Decision

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

W · KO · R3

Santiago Ponzinibbio

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

W · Dec · R3

Alex Morono

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Kelvin Gastelum

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06

News & Media

Kevin Lee · Daniel Rodriguez

← Back to fights