METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Broomfield, USA
2 Apr 2008
Lightweight
VS
66%
Diaz
34%
Pellegrino
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:06
★ Official Result
Nate DiazwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:06
def. Kurt Pellegrino · UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Pellegrino has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiazPellegrino
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diaz
Pellegrino
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
76"+
Reach
70"
41+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diaz
Pellegrino
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.3
18.2
53.4
Performance Avg
50.1
50
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
48
Diaz
Pellegrino
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
6.8
3.2
Style: Volume
3.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground2
Diaz
Pellegrino
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
3.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
6.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.7
10
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diaz
Pellegrino
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
70
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/35 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Diaz
Pellegrino
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
48
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Diaz
Pellegrino
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
71%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
10
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Pellegrino
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
6.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
DiazPellegrino
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPellegrino
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the body (100% of attacks) — Pellegrino absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pellegrino targets the head (50% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Pellegrino
0/0R00/0
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonSubmission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorDecision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
Pellegrino · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauDecision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosDecision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R2
Fabricio CamoesSubmission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh NeerDecision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Sub · R2
Rob EmersonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02