UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Broomfield, USA
2 Apr 2008
Lightweight
VS
66%
Diaz
34%
Pellegrino
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:06
ND
Nate Diaz
22 – 13
6'0"76" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 35
KP
Kurt Pellegrino
"Batman"
16 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Diaz

Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Pellegrino has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Diaz's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Diaz
Pellegrino
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
76"+
Reach
70"
41+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diaz
Pellegrino
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.3
18.2
53.4
Performance Avg
50.1
50
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
48
Diaz
Pellegrino
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground2
Diaz
Pellegrino
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diaz
Pellegrino
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
70
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/35 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Diaz
Pellegrino
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
48
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Diaz
Pellegrino
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
71%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
10
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Diaz
Pellegrino
Striking2.4 / 2.6Volume3.2 / 3.5Grappling5.6 / 5.3Wrestling3.9 / 3.7Submission6.3 / 5.7Pressure7.0 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
6.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Diaz
Strike Zones
Pellegrino
Diaz
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Pellegrino
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the body (100% of attacks) — Pellegrino absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pellegrino targets the head (50% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Diaz
RND
Pellegrino
0/0R00/0

Diaz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W6.0L5.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.7L4.6W7.1W7.5L4.5W4.8L6.6L5.9W2007-062009-092011-122016-032022-09
WinLossTrend

Pellegrino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W2.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L2006-072007-082008-092010-032011-03
WinLossTrend

Diaz · Last 5

W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.8
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08

Pellegrino · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R2
Fabricio CamoesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Sub · R2
Rob EmersonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

News & Media

Nate Diaz · Kurt Pellegrino
← Back to fights