★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Melbourne, Australia
14 Nov 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
46%
Rousey
54%
Holm
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Holm
This is a genuine toss-up — Rousey at 46% vs Holm at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rousey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Rousey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rousey's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holm has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rousey
Holm
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+69"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rousey
Holm
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.1
37.1
87.0
Performance Avg
46.5
95
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
30
Rousey
Holm
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
10
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Rousey
Holm
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rousey
Holm
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/14 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Rousey
Holm
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Rousey
Holm
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rousey
Holm
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
1.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
RouseyHolm
Strike Zones
Rousey
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedHolm
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rousey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Holm targets the head (91% of attacks) — Rousey absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rousey
RND
Holm
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rousey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Holm · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Rousey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Holly HolmRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Bethe CorreiaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
W · Sub · R1
Cat ZinganoRating 5Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Alexis DavisRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
Holm · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.9Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Upcoming
Mayra Bueno SilvaUFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
