METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2017
Heavyweight
VS
43%
Godbeer
57%
Spitz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mark GodbeerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Daniel Spitz · UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Spitz
→
Actual result
Godbeer wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Godbeer at 43% vs Spitz at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Spitz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Godbeer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GodbeerSpitz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Godbeer
Spitz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'7"
77"
Reach
+82"
42
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Godbeer
Spitz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
18.0
36.5
Performance Avg
46.0
28
Quality of Victory
60
53
Momentum Score
36
Godbeer
Spitz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
35%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
11
8
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance14
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Godbeer
Spitz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Godbeer
Spitz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Godbeer
Spitz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
36
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Godbeer
Spitz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Godbeer
Spitz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
GodbeerSpitz
Strike Zones
Godbeer
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedSpitz
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Godbeer targets the head (67% of attacks) — Spitz absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Spitz targets the head (73% of attacks) — Godbeer absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Godbeer
RND
Spitz
0/0R00/0
Godbeer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Spitz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Godbeer · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Dmitry SosnovskiyRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · R1
Walt HarrisRating 4UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R3
Daniel SpitzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · Sub · R1
Justin LedetRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
Spitz · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Anthony HamiltonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Mark GodbeerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03