UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2017
Heavyweight
VS
43%
Godbeer
57%
Spitz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MG
Mark Godbeer
"The Hand Of"
13 – 4
6'4"77" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
DS
Daniel Spitz
6 – 3
Knockout Artist2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox82" reach6'7"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Spitz

This is a genuine toss-up — Godbeer at 43% vs Spitz at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Spitz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.

Godbeer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Godbeer
Spitz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'7"
77"
Reach
+82"
42
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Godbeer
Spitz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
18.0
36.5
Performance Avg
46.0
28
Quality of Victory
60
53
Momentum Score
36
Godbeer
Spitz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
35%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
11
8
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance14
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Godbeer
Spitz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Godbeer
Spitz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Godbeer
Spitz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
36
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Godbeer
Spitz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Godbeer
Spitz
Striking1.0 / 10.0Volume5.0 / 0.5Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Godbeer
Strike Zones
Spitz
Godbeer
Attacking
18HEAD8BODY1LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Spitz
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD8BODY1LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Godbeer targets the head (67% of attacks) — Spitz absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Spitz targets the head (73% of attacks) — Godbeer absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Godbeer
RND
Spitz
0/0R00/0

Godbeer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0101.5L4.5W4.0W2.8L2016-112017-032017-112018-03
WinLossTrend

Spitz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W2.8L6.1L2017-032017-092018-062019-10
WinLossTrend

Godbeer · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Dmitry SosnovskiyRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · R1
Walt HarrisRating 4
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R3
Daniel SpitzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · Sub · R1
Justin LedetRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

Spitz · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Anthony HamiltonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Mark GodbeerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03

News & Media

Mark Godbeer · Daniel Spitz
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