Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Cody Brundage — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley

Atlanta, USA

14 Jun 2025

Middleweight

60%

Abdul-Malik

40%

Brundage

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 0:36

Mansur Abdul-Malik

9 – 1

6'2"80" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist

CFR 67

Cody Brundage

12 – 9

Knockout Artist32 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"

CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Abdul-Malik

An unbeaten middleweight prospect looks to continue his climb against a durable UFC veteran fighting to keep his roster spot in Atlanta.

Mansur Abdul-Malik is one of the more exciting young prospects in the middleweight division — an undefeated fighter with genuine finishing ability who has looked sharp in every UFC appearance. Fighting on the Usman vs. Buckley card in Atlanta gives him a significant platform, and the crowd energy of State Farm Arena should suit his high-intensity style. Cody Brundage is the kind of opponent who m…

Abdul-Malik intel

Abdul-Malik enters undefeated and riding momentum off his second UFC win. His striking has shown genuine power and his cardio allows him to maintain pace across all three rounds. The pressure of an Atlanta crowd and a meaningful prelim slot will be the real test of his mental composure.

Brundage intel

Brundage is a grinding, pressure-based middleweight who relies on physical toughness to stay competitive. His striking is functional but not threatening at the highest level. His best chance against Abdul-Malik is to make it ugly from the opening bell and disrupt the prospect's rhythm before he settles in.

Key angles

Abdul-Malik establishing his jab and body work early before Brundage's pressure gets established

Brundage's ability to survive the early storm and make it a grinding fight in rounds two and three

Whether Abdul-Malik's finishing ability extends to an opponent who genuinely will not go away

Crowd energy in Atlanta — an undefeated prospect in front of a passionate crowd can elevate performances

Risk flags

Brundage's toughness is genuine — he could take Abdul-Malik's best shots and keep coming forward

Prospects sometimes plateau against veterans who force them out of their comfort zone

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Abdul-Malik

Brundage

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"+

Height

6'0"

80"+

Reach

72"

28+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Abdul-Malik

Brundage

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

66.6

45.2

57.8

Performance Avg

49.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Abdul-Malik

Brundage

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

7.9

/ 10

7.5

/ 10

8.8

Style: Pressure

7.1

1.2

Style: Volume

0.9

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance8

0Clinch1

7Ground0

Abdul-Malik

Brundage

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

2.7

/ 10

1.3

/ 10

1.9

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.9

3.3

Submission Style (/10)

1.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Abdul-Malik

Brundage

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R3.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.5 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

6/10 fights

Chin rating based on

16/21 fights

Abdul-Malik

Brundage

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Sub · R2

L · KO · R3

W · Sub · R1

Upcoming

W · KO · R2

Last 5

W · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

Upcoming

Abdul-Malik

Brundage

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

83%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Abdul-Malik

Brundage

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

7.5

2.7

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.3

1.9

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.9

3.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.7

8.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.1

1.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.9

Abdul-Malik

Strike Zones

Brundage

Abdul-Malik

Attacking

11 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Brundage

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

11 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Abdul-Malik targets the head (91% of attacks) — Brundage absorbs 91% of strikes there

🎯Brundage targets the head (100% of attacks) — Abdul-Malik absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Abdul-Malik

RND

Brundage

0/0R00/0

Abdul-Malik · Last 5

L · Sub · R2

Dustin Stoltzfus

Submission

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L · KO · R3

Yousri Belgaroui

KO/TKO

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W · Sub · R1

Antonio Trocoli

Submission

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

Upcoming

Cody Brundage

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

W · KO · R2

Nick Klein

KO/TKO

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Brundage · Last 5

W · KO · R2

Andre Petroski

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05

L · Dec · R3

Donte Johnson

Decision

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

L · KO · R2

Cam Rowston

KO/TKO

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01

L · Dec · R3

Eric McConico

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

Upcoming

Mansur Abdul-Malik

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

News & Media

Mansur Abdul-Malik · Cody Brundage

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