The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2009
Welterweight
VS
92%
Blackburn
8%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blackburn
Blackburn is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Blackburn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Garcia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Garcia has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Blackburn
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
71"
49
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blackburn
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
1.5
45.0
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
60
Momentum Score
0
Blackburn
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.2
31%
Strike Accuracy
35%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
15
3
Body
4
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance18
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Blackburn
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blackburn
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/31 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Blackburn
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Blackburn
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blackburn
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BlackburnGarcia
Strike Zones
Blackburn
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blackburn targets the head (44% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (79% of attacks) — Blackburn absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blackburn
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Blackburn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Blackburn · Last 5
L · KO · R3
DaMarques JohnsonRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
W · Dec · R3
Edgar GarciaRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
W · Dec · R3
Ryo ChonanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008 · 2008-12
W · KO · R2
James GibooRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
Garcia · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Sheldon WestcottRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
Hector UrbinaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11
L · Sub · R1
DaMarques JohnsonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · Dec · R3
Brad BlackburnRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06