METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Sioux Falls, USA
13 Jul 2016
Bantamweight
VS
50%
McDonald
50%
Lineker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:43
★ Official Result
John LinekerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:43
def. Michael McDonald · UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McDonald
→
Actual result
Lineker wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — McDonald at 50% vs Lineker at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
McDonald's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McDonaldLineker
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McDonald
Lineker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'3"
70"+
Reach
67"
35+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McDonald
Lineker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
21.8
53.6
Performance Avg
56.0
45
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
83
McDonald
Lineker
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
6.5
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
6.3
4.0
Style: Volume
4.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
18
1
Body
7
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance15
2Clinch5
0Ground6
McDonald
Lineker
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McDonald
Lineker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
16/40 fights
McDonald
Lineker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
83
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
McDonald
Lineker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
58%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McDonald
Lineker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
McDonaldLineker
Strike Zones
McDonald
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedLineker
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McDonald targets the head (93% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Lineker targets the head (69% of attacks) — McDonald absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McDonald
RND
Lineker
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
McDonald · Last 5
L · KO · R1
John LinekerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Masanori KaneharaSubmission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
W · Sub · R2
Brad PickettSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · Sub · R4
Renan BaraoSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
Lineker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherKO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawDecision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10