UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Sioux Falls, USA
13 Jul 2016
Bantamweight
VS
50%
McDonald
50%
Lineker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:43
MM
Michael McDonald
"Mayday"
17 – 4
5'9"70" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
JL
John Lineker
"Hands of Stone"
31 – 9
Striker35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'3"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McDonald

This is a genuine toss-up — McDonald at 50% vs Lineker at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lineker has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

McDonald's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McDonald
Lineker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'3"
70"+
Reach
67"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McDonald
Lineker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
21.8
53.6
Performance Avg
56.0
45
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
83
McDonald
Lineker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.4
40%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
18
1
Body
7
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance15
2Clinch5
0Ground6
McDonald
Lineker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McDonald
Lineker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
16/40 fights
McDonald
Lineker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
83
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
McDonald
Lineker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
58%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McDonald
Lineker
Striking4.7 / 6.5Volume4.0 / 4.8Grappling3.5 / 1.7Wrestling2.4 / 1.2Submission3.3 / 0.8Pressure6.7 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
McDonald
Strike Zones
Lineker
McDonald
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD7BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Lineker
Attacking
18HEAD7BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McDonald targets the head (93% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Lineker targets the head (69% of attacks) — McDonald absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McDonald
RND
Lineker
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

McDonald · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W3.4L5.2W2.8L5.2W1.5L2011-032012-042013-122016-07
WinLossTrend

Lineker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0102.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.0W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.0W5.7W5.0W4.5W5.6L5.3W5.8W7.0L2012-052013-102015-092016-122019-04
WinLossTrend

McDonald · Last 5

L · KO · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Masanori KaneharaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
W · Sub · R2
Brad PickettRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · Sub · R4
Renan BaraoRating 3.4
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02

Lineker · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

News & Media

Michael McDonald · John Lineker
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