UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Tybura
59%
Fortune
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marcin
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
27 – 11
6'3"78" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
Tyrell
Tyrell Fortune
18 – 3
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fortune

This is a genuine toss-up — Tybura at 41% vs Fortune at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tybura has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Tybura has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tybura
Fortune
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
75"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tybura
Fortune
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
60.8
45.2
Performance Avg
55.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
58
Momentum Score
100
Tybura
Fortune
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
11
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance4
5Clinch3
0Ground1
Tybura
Fortune
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tybura
Fortune
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/38 fights
Chin rating based on
1/21 fights
Tybura
Fortune
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tybura
Fortune
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tybura
Fortune
Striking4.0 / 2.0Volume5.7 / 10.0Grappling1.9 / 2.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.7Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
10.0
Tybura
Strike Zones
Fortune
Tybura
Attacking
9HEAD11BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Fortune
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD11BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the body (55% of attacks) — Fortune absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Fortune targets the head (63% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tybura
RND
Fortune
0/0R00/0

Tybura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2L4.5W2.8L1.7L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L5.3W4.5W3.9L5.4W2.0L5.1W5.6W2.5L6.8L2016-042018-072020-122024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Tybura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

Fortune · Last 1

W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03

News & Media

Marcin Tybura · Tyrell Fortune
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