METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Tybura
49%
Fortune
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tyrell FortunewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marcin Tybura · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tybura
→
Actual result
Fortune wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tybura at 51% vs Fortune at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Tybura has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TyburaFortune
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tybura
Fortune
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
75"
40
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tybura
Fortune
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.0
37.1
44.3
Performance Avg
35.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
46
Tybura
Fortune
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
1.5
5.7
Style: Volume
9.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
11
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance4
5Clinch3
0Ground1
Tybura
Fortune
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tybura
Fortune
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Tybura
Fortune
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
46
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Tybura
Fortune
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tybura
Fortune
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
TyburaFortune
Strike Zones
Tybura
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedFortune
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the body (55% of attacks) — Fortune absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Fortune targets the head (63% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tybura
RND
Fortune
0/0R00/0
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizUFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
Fortune · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Rizvan KunievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03