METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
11 Jul 2020
Women's Bantamweight
VS
81%
Rosa
19%
Melo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karol RosawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Vanessa Melo · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rosa
→
Actual result
Rosa wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rosa is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RosaMelo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rosa
Melo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
65"
31+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Melo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
10.3
39.6
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
28
Rosa
Melo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.9
Style: Pressure
0.8
9.2
Style: Volume
8.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
12
4
Body
4
6
Leg
11
RangeRange
33Distance25
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Rosa
Melo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rosa
Melo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Rosa
Melo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
28
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rosa
Melo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rosa
Melo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
RosaMelo
Strike Zones
Rosa
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedMelo
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (70% of attacks) — Melo absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Melo targets the head (44% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rosa
RND
Melo
0/0R00/0
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Luana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleDecision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaDecision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Melo · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Sarah MorasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09