UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
21 Nov 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
58%
Cerminara
42%
Calvillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cerminara
This is a genuine toss-up — Cerminara at 58% vs Calvillo at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Calvillo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Calvillo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Calvillo has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cerminara
Calvillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
68"+
Reach
64"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Calvillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
29.8
40.9
Performance Avg
42.8
25
Quality of Victory
38
85
Momentum Score
25
Cerminara
Calvillo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.1
35%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
12
2
Body
7
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
18Distance21
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Cerminara
Calvillo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerminara
Calvillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
48
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
13/15 fights
Cerminara
Calvillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Calvillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
11
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerminara
Calvillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
CerminaraCalvillo
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedCalvillo
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (83% of attacks) — Calvillo absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Calvillo targets the head (55% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerminara
RND
Calvillo
0/0R00/0
Cerminara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Calvillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
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L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
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UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11