UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2009
Welterweight
VS
57%
Howard
43%
Wilson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JH
John Howard
"Doomsday"
24 – 13
5'7"72" reachOrthodox43 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
CW
Chris Wilson
"The Professor"
18 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Howard

This is a genuine toss-up — Howard at 57% vs Wilson at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Howard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Howard's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Howard
Wilson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+75"
43+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Howard
Wilson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
10.4
40.1
Performance Avg
25.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
33
Howard
Wilson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
9Ground4
Howard
Wilson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Howard
Wilson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/37 fights
Chin rating based on
4/28 fights
Howard
Wilson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Howard
Wilson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Howard
Wilson
Striking3.9 / 0.5Volume6.7 / 8.5Grappling1.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Howard
Strike Zones
Wilson
Howard
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Wilson
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Howard targets the head (100% of attacks) — Wilson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Wilson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Howard
RND
Wilson
0/0R00/0

Howard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L4.5W2.8L2009-012010-082013-122015-072015-12
WinLossTrend

Wilson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.5W5.5L4.0L2008-032008-082009-012009-09
WinLossTrend

Howard · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Tim MeansRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04

Wilson · Last 4

L · Sub · R3
Mike PyleRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
W · Dec · R3
Steve BrunoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08
L · Dec · R3
Jon FitchRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03

News & Media

John Howard · Chris Wilson
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