METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2009
Welterweight
VS
57%
Howard
43%
Wilson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
John HowardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chris Wilson · UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Howard
→
Actual result
Howard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Howard at 57% vs Wilson at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Howard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Howard's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HowardWilson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Howard
Wilson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+75"
43+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Howard
Wilson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
10.4
40.1
Performance Avg
25.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
33
Howard
Wilson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
0.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
9Ground4
Howard
Wilson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Howard
Wilson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/37 fights
Chin rating based on
4/28 fights
Howard
Wilson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Howard
Wilson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Howard
Wilson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
HowardWilson
Strike Zones
Howard
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedWilson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Howard targets the head (100% of attacks) — Wilson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Wilson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Howard
RND
Wilson
0/0R00/0
Howard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Wilson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Howard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tim MeansRating 2.8KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
Wilson · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Mike PyleRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
W · Dec · R3
Steve BrunoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08
L · Dec · R3
Jon FitchRating 5.5Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03