UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Las Vegas, USA
10 Feb 2024
Welterweight
VS
43%
Griffin
57%
Wells
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Max
Max Griffin
"Pain"
20 – 13
5'11"76" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Jeremiah
Jeremiah Wells
13 – 4
Well-Rounded39 yrsSwitch74" reach5'9"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wells

This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 43% vs Wells at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Wells connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Griffin
Wells
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
74"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Griffin
Wells
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
62.3
39.0
Performance Avg
54.9
37
Quality of Victory
44
74
Momentum Score
84
Griffin
Wells
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
7
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Griffin
Wells
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Wells
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Griffin
Wells
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
84
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Griffin
Wells
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Griffin
Wells
Striking4.6 / 5.4Volume5.8 / 4.6Grappling1.5 / 2.6Wrestling1.1 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure3.9 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Griffin
Strike Zones
Wells
Griffin
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Wells
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (80% of attacks) — Wells absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Wells targets the head (88% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Griffin
RND
Wells
0/0R00/0

Griffin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.3L5.0W6.0L4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L7.0W5.4W4.5W6.1L4.6W7.6L5.9W4.8L6.2L6.8L2016-082019-022021-032024-022026-04
WinLossTrend

Wells · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W4.8L6.1L4.9W2021-062022-062023-082025-11
WinLossTrend

Griffin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael MoralesRating 7.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

Wells · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06

News & Media

Max Griffin · Jeremiah Wells
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