METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Las Vegas, USA
10 Feb 2024
Welterweight
VS
43%
Griffin
57%
Wells
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Max GriffinwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jeremiah Wells · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Wells
→
Actual result
Griffin wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 43% vs Wells at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Wells connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GriffinWells
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Griffin
Wells
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
74"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Griffin
Wells
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
62.3
39.0
Performance Avg
54.9
37
Quality of Victory
44
74
Momentum Score
84
Griffin
Wells
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
7
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Griffin
Wells
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Wells
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Griffin
Wells
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
84
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Griffin
Wells
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Wells
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
GriffinWells
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedWells
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (80% of attacks) — Wells absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Wells targets the head (88% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Wells
0/0R00/0
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Wells · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael MoralesRating 7.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Wells · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 4.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06