UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Orlando, USA
24 Feb 2018
Welterweight
VS
46%
Saunders
54%
Jouban
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jouban
This is a genuine toss-up — Saunders at 46% vs Jouban at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Jouban throws more volume but Saunders connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Saunders's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jouban has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Saunders
Jouban
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
73"
43+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Saunders
Jouban
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.6
18.1
46.4
Performance Avg
49.7
46
Quality of Victory
42
50
Momentum Score
67
Saunders
Jouban
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.8
55%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
25
3
Body
6
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance23
5Clinch11
0Ground0
Saunders
Jouban
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Saunders
Jouban
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
40
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.9 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/35 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Saunders
Jouban
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
67
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Saunders
Jouban
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saunders
Jouban
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
SaundersJouban
Strike Zones
Saunders
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedJouban
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saunders targets the head (77% of attacks) — Jouban absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Jouban targets the head (74% of attacks) — Saunders absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saunders
RND
Jouban
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Saunders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Jouban · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Saunders · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · KO · R2
Takashi SatoRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Lyman GoodRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R2
Sergio MoraesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Jake EllenbergerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
Jouban · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 5.5Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Gunnar NelsonRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03