METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 54: Boiling Point
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2005
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Couture
47%
Arsdale
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 0:52
★ Official Result
Randy CouturewinsSubmissionR3 · 0:52
def. Mike van Arsdale · UFC 54: Boiling Point
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Couture
→
Actual result
Couture wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Couture at 53% vs Arsdale at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Couture has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Arsdale throws more volume but Couture connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Couture's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CoutureArsdale
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Couture
Arsdale
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
63
Age
+61
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Couture
Arsdale
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
18.1
62.4
Performance Avg
43.7
60
Quality of Victory
40
72
Momentum Score
71
Couture
Arsdale
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.3
61%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Couture
Arsdale
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Couture
Arsdale
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Couture
Arsdale
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
71
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Couture
Arsdale
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Couture
Arsdale
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
CoutureArsdale
Strike Zones
Couture
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedArsdale
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arsdale targets the head (100% of attacks) — Couture absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Couture
RND
Arsdale
0/0R00/0
Couture · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Arsdale · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Couture · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
James ToneyRating 5Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Mark ColemanRating 5.2Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
Arsdale · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Renato SobralRating 1.5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · Sub · R3
Randy CoutureRating 4Submission
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Dec · R3
John MarshRating 4.5Decision
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
W · Sub · R1
Joe PardoRating 5Submission
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05