UFC 54: Boiling Point
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2005
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Couture
47%
Arsdale
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 0:52
RC
Randy Couture
"The Natural"
19 – 11
6'1"75" reachOrthodox62 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
Mv
Mike van Arsdale
8 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide60 yrsSwitch6'2"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Couture

This is a genuine toss-up — Couture at 53% vs Arsdale at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Couture has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Striking split: Arsdale throws more volume but Couture connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Couture's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Couture
Arsdale
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
62
Age
+60
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Couture
Arsdale
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
18.1
62.4
Performance Avg
43.7
60
Quality of Victory
40
72
Momentum Score
71
Couture
Arsdale
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
61%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Couture
Arsdale
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Couture
Arsdale
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Couture
Arsdale
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
71
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Couture
Arsdale
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Couture
Arsdale
Striking5.1 / 1.0Volume3.8 / 5.0Grappling2.8 / 5.2Wrestling1.9 / 3.6Submission2.5 / 5.0Pressure6.4 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Couture
Strike Zones
Arsdale
Couture
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Arsdale
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arsdale targets the head (100% of attacks) — Couture absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Couture
RND
Arsdale
0/0R00/0

Couture · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W2.1L4.0L5.2W4.5W4.0L4.2W1.5L5.5W2.1L4.5W5.2W2.1L5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L1997-052001-112004-082008-112011-04
WinLossTrend

Arsdale · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W4.5W4.0L1.5L1998-052005-042005-082006-02
WinLossTrend

Couture · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
James ToneyRating 5
Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Mark ColemanRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08

Arsdale · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Renato SobralRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · Sub · R3
Randy CoutureRating 4
Submission
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Dec · R3
John MarshRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
W · Sub · R1
Joe PardoRating 5
Submission
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05

News & Media

Randy Couture · Mike van Arsdale
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