UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2010
Lightweight
VS
38%
Oliveira
62%
Gunderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gunderson
Gunderson holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Oliveira has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Striking split: Oliveira throws more volume but Gunderson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira
Gunderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"+
Reach
69"
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Gunderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.2
11.8
25.0
Performance Avg
28.3
25
Quality of Victory
25
15
Momentum Score
40
Oliveira
Gunderson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.3
30%
Strike Accuracy
58%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Oliveira
Gunderson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oliveira
Gunderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
3/51 fights
Oliveira
Gunderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Oliveira
Gunderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Gunderson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
OliveiraGunderson
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedGunderson
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gunderson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Gunderson
0/0R00/0
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Gunderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Erik KochRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R2
Edson BarbozaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Yoislandy IzquierdoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R2
Yves EdwardsRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Gleison TibauRating 2.8Submission
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
Gunderson · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Yves EdwardsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
W · Dec · R3
Mark HolstRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
L · Dec · R3
Rafaello OliveiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva · 2010-01