UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
New York City, USA
6 Nov 2021
Middleweight
VS
50%
Shahbazyan
50%
Imavov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:52

CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shahbazyan
This is a genuine toss-up — Shahbazyan at 50% vs Imavov at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Shahbazyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Imavov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Shahbazyan's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Shahbazyan
Imavov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
75"
28+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shahbazyan
Imavov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.1
63.8
56.3
Performance Avg
56.4
51
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
90
Shahbazyan
Imavov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
57%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
23
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground21
Shahbazyan
Imavov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shahbazyan
Imavov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Shahbazyan
Imavov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
90
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Shahbazyan
Imavov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
44%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shahbazyan
Imavov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
ShahbazyanImavov
Strike Zones
Shahbazyan
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedImavov
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (60% of attacks) — Imavov absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Imavov targets the head (96% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shahbazyan
RND
Imavov
0/0R00/0
Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Imavov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Shahbazyan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Imavov · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R4
Jared CannonierRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
