UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Milwaukee, USA
14 Aug 2011
Bantamweight
VS
90%
Figueroa
10%
Reinhardt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Figueroa
Figueroa is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Figueroa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Figueroa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Reinhardt has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Figueroa
Reinhardt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
69"
Reach
41+
Age
56
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Figueroa
Reinhardt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.9
1.5
37.3
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
30
Momentum Score
0
Figueroa
Reinhardt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.2
39%
Strike Accuracy
33%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Figueroa
Reinhardt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Figueroa
Reinhardt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/23 fights
Figueroa
Reinhardt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Figueroa
Reinhardt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Figueroa
Reinhardt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
FigueroaReinhardt
Strike Zones
Figueroa
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedReinhardt
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Figueroa targets the head (88% of attacks) — Reinhardt absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Figueroa
RND
Reinhardt
0/0R00/0
Figueroa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Reinhardt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.9WinLossTrend
Figueroa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Roland DelormeRating 5.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco RiveraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · KO · R2
Jason ReinhardtRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
Reinhardt · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Edwin FigueroaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Sub · R1
Zhang TiequanRating 1.5Submission
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
L · Sub · R1
Joe LauzonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11