Rafa Garcia vs Jesse Ronson — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad

Las Vegas, USA

16 Apr 2022

Lightweight

95%

Garcia

Ronson

Win Probability

Submission

Round 2 · 4:50

Rafa Garcia

"Gifted"

19 – 4

5'7"70" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 51

Jesse Ronson

"The Body Snatcher"

21 – 12

Well-Rounded5-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"

CFR 3

★ Official Result

Rafa GarciawinsSubmissionR2 · 4:50

def. Jesse Ronson · UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Garcia

→

Actual result

Garcia wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Garcia is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.

Risk flags

Ronson has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

GarciaRonson

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Garcia

Ronson

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"

Height

+5'10"

70"

Reach

70"

32+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Garcia

Ronson

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

50.6

2.6

44.7

Performance Avg

0.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Garcia

Ronson

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.7

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

3.9

Style: Pressure

0.0

7.0

Style: Volume

0.0

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance2

0Clinch0

8Ground0

Garcia

Ronson

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.9

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

2.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.0

1.4

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Garcia

Ronson

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/23 fights

Chin rating based on

6/33 fights

Garcia

Ronson

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

5-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Last 5

L · KO · R2

L · Sub · R2

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

Garcia

Ronson

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

29%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garcia

Ronson

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.0

2.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

2.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

1.4

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

3.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

0.0

7.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.0

Garcia

Strike Zones

Ronson

Garcia

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Ronson

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Garcia targets the head (89% of attacks) — Ronson absorbs 89% of strikes there

🎯Ronson targets the body (50% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garcia

RND

Ronson

0/0R00/0

Garcia · Last 5

Upcoming

Rongzhu

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09

W · Dec · R3

Alexander Hernandez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04

W · KO · R3

Jared Gordon

KO/TKO

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09

W · Dec · R3

Vinc Pichel

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

L · KO · R2

Grant Dawson

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

Ronson · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Joaquim Silva

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

L · Sub · R2

Rafa Garcia

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04

Upcoming

Nicolas Dalby

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

L · Dec · R3

Kevin Lee

Decision

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07

L · Dec · R3

Francisco Trinaldo

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02

News & Media

Rafa Garcia · Jesse Ronson

← Back to fights