METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Boston, USA
20 Jan 2018
Flyweight
VS
22%
Ortiz
78%
Pantoja
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dustin OrtizwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alexandre Pantoja · UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pantoja
→
Actual result
Ortiz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pantoja is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OrtizPantoja
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ortiz
Pantoja
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Pantoja
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
60.7
46.9
Performance Avg
60.2
40
Quality of Victory
49
45
Momentum Score
65
Ortiz
Pantoja
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
6.3
5.1
Style: Volume
5.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
3
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Ortiz
Pantoja
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ortiz
Pantoja
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
19/36 fights
Ortiz
Pantoja
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
65
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
Ortiz
Pantoja
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
6
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortiz
Pantoja
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
OrtizPantoja
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPantoja
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (45% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Pantoja targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortiz
RND
Pantoja
0/0R00/0
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaDecision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
Pantoja · Last 5
Upcoming
Joshua VanUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · KO · R1
Joshua VanKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-FranceSubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05