UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Boston, USA
20 Jan 2018
Flyweight
VS
22%
Ortiz
78%
Pantoja
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DO
Dustin Ortiz
19 – 8
5'5"65" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
Alexandre
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
30 – 6
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pantoja

Pantoja is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pantoja has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Ortiz
Pantoja
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Pantoja
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
60.7
47.8
Performance Avg
60.2
42
Quality of Victory
49
45
Momentum Score
65
Ortiz
Pantoja
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
3
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Ortiz
Pantoja
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ortiz
Pantoja
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
18/36 fights
Ortiz
Pantoja
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
65
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Ortiz
Pantoja
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
6
4
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ortiz
Pantoja
Striking6.1 / 3.0Volume5.1 / 5.0Grappling1.2 / 4.5Wrestling0.8 / 3.1Submission0.0 / 4.3Pressure5.2 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Ortiz
Strike Zones
Pantoja
Ortiz
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Pantoja
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (45% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Pantoja targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ortiz
RND
Pantoja
0/0R00/0

Ortiz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W3.6L5.0W5.8W5.2W5.5L2013-112014-112016-122018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Pantoja · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5W5.5L5.4W5.0W5.0W6.6L5.2W5.5L6.2W6.0W6.3W5.4W5.3W5.1W5.1W6.1W3.1L2017-012019-042021-082024-122025-12
WinLossTrend

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04

Pantoja · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Joshua VanRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

News & Media

Dustin Ortiz · Alexandre Pantoja
← Back to fights