★ Championship Bout · Interim Welterweight
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2012
Interim Welterweight
VS
56%
Diaz
44%
Condit
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Diaz
This is a genuine toss-up — Diaz at 56% vs Condit at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Condit throws more volume but Diaz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Condit has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Diaz
Condit
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
76"+
Reach
75"
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diaz
Condit
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
22.3
49.6
Performance Avg
47.8
49
Quality of Victory
48
46
Momentum Score
20
Diaz
Condit
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
40%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
13
6
Body
3
2
Leg
9
RangeRange
17Distance25
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Diaz
Condit
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diaz
Condit
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
19/46 fights
Diaz
Condit
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Diaz
Condit
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
44%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Condit
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
DiazCondit
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedCondit
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (53% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Condit targets the head (52% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Condit
0/0R00/0
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Condit · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Diaz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson SilvaUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreRating 5.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Condit · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaRating 3.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04