UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Las Vegas, USA
28 Nov 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
67%
Smith
33%
Clark
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Smith
Smith holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Clark has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Clark has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Clark has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Smith
Clark
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
75"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Clark
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.3
28.7
50.7
Performance Avg
35.7
50
Quality of Victory
28
100
Momentum Score
43
Smith
Clark
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Smith
Clark
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Clark
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/60 fights
Chin rating based on
17/23 fights
Smith
Clark
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Smith
Clark
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
77%
13%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Clark
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
SmithClark
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedClark
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (100% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Clark targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Clark
0/0R00/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Clark · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangRating 3.5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.1Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
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Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
Clark · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.9Decision
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L · Sub · R2
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 4Submission
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Da Woon JungRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
L · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · KO · R3
William KnightRating 5.5KO/TKO
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