Frankie Edgar vs Chris Gutierrez — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira

New York City, USA

12 Nov 2022

Bantamweight

36%

Edgar

64%

Gutierrez

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 2:01

Frankie Edgar

"The Answer"

23 – 11

5'6"68" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 25

Chris Gutierrez

"El Guapo"

22 – 7

Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'9"

CFR 44

★ Official Result

Chris GutierrezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:01

def. Frankie Edgar · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Gutierrez

→

Actual result

Gutierrez wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Gutierrez holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Edgar has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

EdgarGutierrez

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Edgar

Gutierrez

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"

Height

+5'9"

68"+

Reach

67"

Age

+35

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Edgar

Gutierrez

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

25.4

44.2

48.0

Performance Avg

49.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Edgar

Gutierrez

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.5

/ 10

4.4

/ 10

4.2

Style: Pressure

4.2

6.1

Style: Volume

7.0

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance10

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Edgar

Gutierrez

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.4

/ 10

1.7

/ 10

1.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.2

1.1

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Edgar

Gutierrez

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

3 consec. KOs

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.4 stoppage

KO round context

—

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

30/34 fights

Chin rating based on

15/29 fights

Edgar

Gutierrez

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R5

L · KO · R1

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R3

Edgar

Gutierrez

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

30%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edgar

Gutierrez

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.4

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.7

1.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.2

1.1

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

4.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.2

6.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.0

Edgar

Strike Zones

Gutierrez

Edgar

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Gutierrez

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Edgar targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Gutierrez targets the head (60% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edgar

RND

Gutierrez

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Edgar · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Chris Gutierrez

KO/TKO

UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

L · KO · R3

Marlon Vera

KO/TKO

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

L · KO · R1

Cory Sandhagen

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02

W · Dec · R5

Pedro Munhoz

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08

L · KO · R1

Chan Sung Jung

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12

Gutierrez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Farid Basharat

Decision

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10

W · Dec · R3

John Castaneda

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04

W · Dec · R3

Quang Le

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

L · Dec · R5

Song Yadong

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12

W · Dec · R3

Alatengheili

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

News & Media

Frankie Edgar · Chris Gutierrez

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