METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
12 Nov 2022
Bantamweight
VS
36%
Edgar
64%
Gutierrez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:01
FE
Frankie Edgar
"The Answer"
23 – 11
5'6"68" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 25
Chris
Chris Gutierrez
"El Guapo"
22 – 7
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'9"
CFR 44
★ Official Result
Chris GutierrezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:01
def. Frankie Edgar · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gutierrez
→
Actual result
Gutierrez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Gutierrez holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Edgar has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gutierrez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
EdgarGutierrez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Edgar
Gutierrez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
68"+
Reach
67"
44
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Edgar
Gutierrez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
44.2
48.0
Performance Avg
49.3
39
Quality of Victory
35
68
Momentum Score
25
Edgar
Gutierrez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.8
45%
Strike Accuracy
61%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
0
Body
0
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
2Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Edgar
Gutierrez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edgar
Gutierrez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
82
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
15/29 fights
Edgar
Gutierrez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
25
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Edgar
Gutierrez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
30%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edgar
Gutierrez
Striking3.5 / 4.4Volume6.1 / 7.0Grappling2.4 / 1.7Wrestling1.6 / 1.2Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Edgar
Strike Zones
Gutierrez
Edgar
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY4LEGS10 absorbed
Gutierrez
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY4LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edgar targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gutierrez targets the head (60% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edgar
RND
Gutierrez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Edgar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.5L5.5L6.0L5.9W5.2W6.0W4.5W5.0W6.0L5.0W5.8W2.9L5.0W6.6L2.0L5.0W3.0L4.8L2.0L2007-022010-082015-052019-122022-11
WinLossTrend

Gutierrez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0103.6L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.9W5.0W6.0L5.1W6.8L5.0W5.3W7.0L2018-112021-022023-042025-042025-10
WinLossTrend

Edgar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12

Gutierrez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Quang LeRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Song YadongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

News & Media

Frankie Edgar · Chris Gutierrez
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