The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Lawlor
45%
Kingsbury
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TL
Tom Lawlor
"Filthy"
10 – 6
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw43 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
KK
Kyle Kingsbury
"Kingsbu"
11 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lawlor

This is a genuine toss-up — Lawlor at 55% vs Kingsbury at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lawlor has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Kingsbury has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Lawlor
Kingsbury
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
+79"
43+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawlor
Kingsbury
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.8
16.5
48.7
Performance Avg
38.0
45
Quality of Victory
34
75
Momentum Score
74
Lawlor
Kingsbury
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.0
36%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch3
0Ground2
Lawlor
Kingsbury
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lawlor
Kingsbury
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
9/17 fights
Lawlor
Kingsbury
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
74
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lawlor
Kingsbury
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lawlor
Kingsbury
Striking4.4 / 3.4Volume3.8 / 6.9Grappling3.5 / 1.8Wrestling2.4 / 1.3Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Lawlor
Strike Zones
Kingsbury
Lawlor
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Kingsbury
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kingsbury targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lawlor absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lawlor
RND
Kingsbury
0/0R00/0

Lawlor · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.0W5.5L2.8L4.5W2.3L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.2W5.5L2008-122010-052012-052015-072016-03
WinLossTrend

Kingsbury · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L1.9L4.8L5.5L2008-122011-022012-052014-07
WinLossTrend

Lawlor · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
W · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Michael KuiperRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis CarmontRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05

Kingsbury · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 4.8
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · Sub · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06

News & Media

Tom Lawlor · Kyle Kingsbury
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