UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt
Las Vegas, USA
29 May 2016
Middleweight
VS
94%
Collier
6%
Uda
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:06
JC
Jake Collier
"The Prototype"
13 – 10
6'3"78" reachOrthodox37 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 27
AU
Alberto Uda
12 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox6'3"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Collier

Collier is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Collier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.

Collier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Collier's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Uda has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Collier
Uda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Collier
Uda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.7
1.8
36.4
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Collier
Uda
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
33%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
8Clinch0
1Ground0
Collier
Uda
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Collier
Uda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Collier
Uda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Collier
Uda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Collier
Uda
Striking2.7 / 0.0Volume5.5 / 0.0Grappling3.0 / 0.0Wrestling2.1 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Collier
Strike Zones
Uda
Collier
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Uda
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Collier targets the head (85% of attacks) — Uda absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Uda targets the body (100% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Collier
RND
Uda
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Collier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W3.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W6.2L3.8L6.5L6.5L2014-122017-042021-062023-042023-09
WinLossTrend

Uda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.5
0102.8L2.3L2016-052016-08
WinLossTrend

Collier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Sub · R1
Chase ShermanRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

Uda · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Marvin VettoriRating 2.3
Submission
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
L · KO · R2
Jake CollierRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05

News & Media

Jake Collier · Alberto Uda
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